Senior Collections Risk Analyst at Fairmoney Microfinance Bank

FairMoney is building the leading mobile bank for emerging markets. We started with a digital microcredit application on Android, and currently roll out additional financial services (current account, savings, debit card) while expanding the product to Western Africa and South-East Asia.

We are recruiting to fill the position below:

Job Title: Senior Collections Risk Analyst

Location: Lagos

About the role

• A highly analytical professional with deep expertise in Expected Credit Loss (ECL) modeling forecasting and collections risk analysis.
• This role is critical in shaping data-driven recovery strategies by analyzing delinquency trends, risk segmentation, and portfolio performance.
• The individual must have a strong understanding of how predictive models work, impact collections strategies, and how to interpret their outputs to optimize recovery efforts.
• The individual will be responsible for analyzing risk trends, evaluating collections effectiveness, and providing actionable insights to improve recoveries.
• This position requires hands-on experience with SQL, Python (for data analysis), and statistical modeling concepts, as well as a thorough understanding of how underwriting decisions and collections operations impact Expected Credit Loss and overall portfolio risk.

Responsibilities
ECL Modeling & Forecasting:

• Analyze and interpret ECL models and forecasts, providing insights into expected recoveries and risk exposure.
• Utilize historical delinquency and recovery data to assess the accuracy of ECL projections and recommend refinements.
• Perform vintage analysis and roll-rate modeling to understand credit deterioration and its impact on collections risk.
• Support stress testing efforts to evaluate portfolio performance under different collections strategies and economic conditions.
• Monitor and assess loss provisioning trends, ensuring alignment between collections strategies and expected recoveries.

Collections Performance Analytics & Risk Segmentation:

• Analyze cohort performance, delinquency trends, and borrower segmentation to optimize collections strategies.
• Evaluate the effectiveness of existing collections treatment paths, identifying areas for improvement.
• Assess the impact of credit underwriting decisions on collections outcomes, ensuring alignment between risk assessment and recovery strategies.
• Support the design and execution of A/B testing for different collections approaches, using data to recommend optimal strategies.
• Monitor roll rates and transition matrices to detect early signs of delinquency risk and recommend intervention strategies.

Understanding of Predictive Models & Strategy:

• Interpret the outputs of propensity-to-pay models and predictive risk models, using insights to refine collections outreach.
• Work closely with data science teams to understand how machine learning models assess collections risk and borrower behavior.
• Leverage model-driven insights to enhance borrower segmentation, call center efficiency, and digital engagement strategies.
• Identify leading indicators of non-repayment, ensuring proactive collections intervention before delinquency worsens.
• Collaborate with strategy teams to refine contact strategies based on predictive insights, improving recovery rates.

Collaboration & Process Improvement:

• Work closely with finance, risk, and collections operations teams to ensure accurate forecasting and risk assessment.
• Provide data-driven recommendations to improve collections efficiency, reduce cost to collect, and enhance customer engagement
• Develop automated reporting and dashboards for tracking collections KPIs, recovery rates, and delinquency trends.
• Support the Collections Analytics Manager in refining risk models and implementing strategy improvements based on data insights.
• Evaluate and recommend new data sources to improve collections risk analysis and forecasting accuracy.

Key Skills & Qualifications
Technical & Analytical Skills:

• Advanced proficiency in SQL and Python for data extraction, manipulation, and analysis.
• Strong expertise in Expected Credit Loss (ECL) modeling, loss forecasting, and provisioning calculations.
• Familiarity with statistical modeling, machine learning outputs, and predictive analytics in a credit risk or collections setting.
• Understanding of vintage analysis, roll-rate modeling, and transition matrices for delinquency risk assessment.
• Experience with Power BI, Tableau, or similar visualization tools to present collections insights effectively.
• Knowledge of IFRS 9 and other credit risk regulatory frameworks affecting ECL calculations.

Experience & Risk Management Expertise

• 3+ years of experience in collections analytics, credit risk, or a related data-driven role.
• Strong track record in forecasting delinquency trends and optimizing loss provisioning strategies.
• Experience working with ECL models, understanding their inputs, outputs, and business implications.
• Understanding of underwriting policies and how they influence collections risk and recovery strategies.
• Experience in A/B testing for collections strategy optimization.
• Strong ability to interpret predictive model outputs and apply insights to optimize collections operations.

Communication & Stakeholder Engagement:

• Strong ability to translate complex data findings into actionable recommendations for senior leadership.
• Experience working cross-functionally with finance, risk, and collections operations teams.
• Ability to present technical insights in a clear, non-technical manner to business stakeholders.
• Strong written and verbal communication skills to drive alignment on collections risk strategy.

Desired Traits:

• Highly Analytical: Strong problem-solving skills with the ability to break down complex data into actionable insights.
• Detail-Oriented: Ensures accuracy in reporting and forecasting to minimize risk exposure.
• Proactive: Continuously seeks ways to improve ECL forecasting, risk segmentation, and collections efficiency.
• Results-Driven: Focused on optimizing recovery rates and minimizing losses through data-driven strategy execution.
• Adaptable: Thrives in a fast-paced, dynamic environment where collections and risk strategies evolve rapidly.

Benefits

• Private Health Insurance
• Pension Plan
• Training & Development
• Hybrid work
• Paid Time Off.

Application Closing Date
Not Specified.

How to Apply
Interested and qualified candidates should:
Click here to apply online

Recruitment Process

• Screening interview with a Senior Recruiter- 30 minutes
• Technical Assessment
• Technical Interview with the Lead Risk Manager for 45-60 minutes.